España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Tías: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Tías (Las Palmas, 21,083 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
10 councillors (2023: 10) · 39.8% of the vote (2023: 42.3%) Majority 29%
PP±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 28.5% of the vote (2023: 28.3%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 10.6% of the vote (2023: 5.2%) Majority 0%
CCA±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 8.1% of the vote (2023: 9.5%) Majority 0%
USP−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 3.4% of the vote (2023: 5.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 71% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Tías

Tías is a municipality in the province of Las Palmas with 21,083 inhabitants, the 13th largest of its 34 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 42.3% of the vote and 10 seats; PP was second with 7. 50.5% of the 11,515 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 10 of 21.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 42.3% → 39.8% 10 → 10 councillors
  2. PPPP 28.3% → 28.5% 7 → 7 councillors
  3. VOXVox 5.2% → 10.6% 1 → 2 councillors
  4. CCACoalición Canaria 9.5% → 8.1% 2 → 2 councillors
  5. S.B.Local lists 4.3% → 4.6% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. NC-FACLocal lists 3.3% → 3.6% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. USPSumar, Podemos and allies 5.6% → 3.4% 1 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 5,811 valid votes including 89 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Tías in size, in Las Palmas

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