El Villar de Arnedo: PP would keep its majority
El Villar de Arnedo (La Rioja, 593 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- over 99%PP majority
- 299valid votes in 2023 (72% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About El Villar de Arnedo
El Villar de Arnedo is a municipality in the province of La Rioja with 593 inhabitants, the 37th largest of its 174 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 72.9% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 1. 71.5% of the 418 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 72.9% → 75.3% 6 → 6 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 23.4% → 21.0% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 299 valid votes including 11 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.