Alfaro: PP would keep its majority
Alfaro (La Rioja, 9,727 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 97%PP majority
- 4,800valid votes in 2023 (67% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 3% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Alfaro
Alfaro is a municipality in the province of La Rioja with 9,727 inhabitants, the 6th largest of its 174 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 55% of the vote and 8 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 4. 66.6% of the 7,205 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 8 seats, a majority, which it holds in 97% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 55.0% → 55.6% 8 → 8 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 29.9% → 27.1% 4 → 4 councillors
- VOXVox 2.9% → 7.4% 0 → 1 councillors
- I.U.Sumar, Podemos and allies 8.0% → 5.5% 1 → 0 councillors
- PLRILocal lists 2.5% → 2.6% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,800 valid votes including 82 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.