Sorihuela del Guadalimar: PSOE would keep its majority
Sorihuela del Guadalimar (Jaén, 1,053 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 70%PSOE majority
- 708valid votes in 2023 (84% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 30% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Sorihuela del Guadalimar
Sorihuela del Guadalimar is a municipality in the province of Jaén with 1,053 inhabitants, the 77th largest of its 97 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE came first with 51.4% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; UXS was second with 2. 83.7% of the 846 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 70% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 51.4% → 49.0% 5 → 5 councillors
- UXSLocal lists 22.0% → 23.8% 2 → 2 councillors
- IPSLocal lists 15.8% → 17.1% 1 → 1 councillors
- PPPP 10.3% → 9.7% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 708 valid votes including 3 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.