España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Noalejo: PSOE would keep its majority

Noalejo (Jaén, 1,856 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 61.9% of the vote (2023: 63.4%) Majority 97%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 27.7% of the vote (2023: 27.2%) Majority 0%
CS±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 10.0% of the vote (2023: 9.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 3% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 63.4% → 61.9% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. PPPP 27.2% → 27.7% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. CSCiudadanos 9.2% → 10.0% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,366 valid votes including 4 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Noalejo in size, in Jaén

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