Orcera: PSOE would keep its majority
Orcera (Jaén, 1,752 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 69%PSOE majority
- 1,124valid votes in 2023 (76% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE±0
5
councillors (2023: 5) · 52.7% of the vote (2023: 54.4%)
Majority 69%
PP±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 45.8% of the vote (2023: 44.1%)
Majority 31%
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 54.4% → 52.7% 5 → 5 councillors
- PPPP 44.1% → 45.8% 4 → 4 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,124 valid votes including 17 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.