España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Cabra del Santo Cristo: PSOE would keep its majority

Cabra del Santo Cristo (Jaén, 1,745 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 65.6% of the vote (2023: 65.1%) Majority over 99%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 30.2% of the vote (2023: 28.6%) Majority under 1%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 65.1% → 65.6% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. PPPP 28.6% → 30.2% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. PARA LA GENTESumar, Podemos and allies 5.5% → 3.5% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,147 valid votes including 9 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Cabra del Santo Cristo in size, in Jaén

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