Jabalquinto: U.D.J would keep its majority
Jabalquinto (Jaén, 1,968 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- over 99%U.D.J majority
- 1,317valid votes in 2023 (78% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
U.D.J+1
8
councillors (2023: 7) · 75.9% of the vote (2023: 72.1%)
Majority over 99%
PSOE−1
1
councillors (2023: 2) · 18.4% of the vote (2023: 21.3%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- U.D.JLocal lists 72.1% → 75.9% 7 → 8 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 21.3% → 18.4% 2 → 1 councillors
- PPPP 5.6% → 4.7% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,317 valid votes including 13 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.