Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Fuerte del Rey: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Fuerte del Rey (Jaén, 1,309 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 41.6% of the vote (2023: 44.0%) Majority 16%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 31.6% of the vote (2023: 31.2%) Majority 0%
POR FDR±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 26.1% of the vote (2023: 24.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 84% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Fuerte del Rey

Fuerte del Rey is a municipality in the province of Jaén with 1,309 inhabitants, the 75th largest of its 97 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 44% of the vote and 4 seats; PP was second with 3. 82.7% of the 1,114 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 4 of 9.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 44.0% → 41.6% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. PPPP 31.2% → 31.6% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. POR FDRLocal lists 24.1% → 26.1% 2 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 921 valid votes including 7 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Fuerte del Rey in size, in Jaén

Every municipality in Jaén → · All of Spain →