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Santa María del Camí: no list would have a majority, MÉS largest

Santa María del Camí (Illes Balears, 7,483 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

MÉS±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 41.2% of the vote (2023: 41.2%) Majority 45%
PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 30.4% of the vote (2023: 32.4%) Majority under 1%
VOX±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 11.4% of the vote (2023: 6.4%) Majority 0%
APSM+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 6.3% of the vote (2023: 6.3%) Majority 0%
PSIB-PSOE−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 5.0% of the vote (2023: 7.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 54% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Santa María del Camí

Santa María del Camí is a municipality in the province of Illes Balears with 7,483 inhabitants, the 31st largest of its 67 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 MÉS came first with 41.2% of the vote and 6 seats; PP was second with 5. 68.6% of the 5,507 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: MÉS would be largest on 6 of 13.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. MÉSLocal lists 41.2% → 41.2% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. PPPP 32.4% → 30.4% 5 → 5 councillors
  3. VOXVox 6.4% → 11.4% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. APSMLocal lists 6.3% → 6.3% 0 → 1 councillors
  5. PSIB-PSOEPSOE 7.9% → 5.0% 1 → 0 councillors
  6. EL PILocal lists 4.2% → 4.2% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,778 valid votes including 58 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Santa María del Camí in size, in Illes Balears

Every municipality in Illes Balears → · All of Spain →