España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Sant Llorenç des Cardassar: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Sant Llorenç des Cardassar (Illes Balears, 9,035 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 29.1% of the vote (2023: 28.6%) Majority 0%
PSIB-PSOE±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 25.1% of the vote (2023: 27.3%) Majority 0%
GENT COSTA - EL PI±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 17.6% of the vote (2023: 16.2%) Majority 0%
UICA±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 12.3% of the vote (2023: 11.2%) Majority 0%
PERXB±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.5% of the vote (2023: 6.9%) Majority 0%
MÉS±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 6.5% of the vote (2023: 6.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Sant Llorenç des Cardassar

Sant Llorenç des Cardassar is a municipality in the province of Illes Balears with 9,035 inhabitants, the 26th largest of its 67 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 28.6% of the vote and 4 seats; PSIB-PSOE was second with 4. 58.4% of the 6,054 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 4 of 13.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 28.6% → 29.1% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. PSIB-PSOEPSOE 27.3% → 25.1% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. GENT COSTA - EL PILocal lists 16.2% → 17.6% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. UICALocal lists 11.2% → 12.3% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. PERXBLocal lists 6.9% → 7.5% 1 → 1 councillors
  6. MÉSLocal lists 6.0% → 6.5% 1 → 1 councillors
  7. UNIDOS PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 2.0% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,538 valid votes including 66 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Sant Llorenç des Cardassar in size, in Illes Balears

Every municipality in Illes Balears → · All of Spain →