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San Bartolomé de la Torre: PSOE-A would keep its majority

San Bartolomé de la Torre (Huelva, 3,906 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE-A±0
9 councillors (2023: 9) · 71.9% of the vote (2023: 75.7%) Majority over 99%
AHORA INDEPENDIENTES±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 19.3% of the vote (2023: 18.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOE-APSOE 75.7% → 71.9% 9 → 9 councillors
  2. AHORA INDEPENDIENTESLocal lists 18.2% → 19.3% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. VOXVox 0.6% → 4.3% 0 → 0 councillors
  4. PPPP 4.5% → 3.6% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,023 valid votes including 17 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near San Bartolomé de la Torre in size, in Huelva

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