Niebla: PP would keep its majority
Niebla (Huelva, 4,196 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 96%PP majority
- 2,572valid votes in 2023 (78% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP±0
7
councillors (2023: 7) · 57.1% of the vote (2023: 58.0%)
Majority 96%
PSOE-A±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 24.9% of the vote (2023: 28.5%)
Majority 0%
CS±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 10.8% of the vote (2023: 10.4%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 4% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 58.0% → 57.1% 7 → 7 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 28.5% → 24.9% 3 → 3 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 10.4% → 10.8% 1 → 1 councillors
- VOXVox 2.5% → 6.6% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,572 valid votes including 15 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.