Uceda: A.C.U.A. would keep its majority
Uceda (Guadalajara, 3,048 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 79%A.C.U.A. majority
- 1,629valid votes in 2023 (70% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 21% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Uceda
Uceda is a municipality in the province of Guadalajara with 3,048 inhabitants, the 15th largest of its 288 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 A.C.U.A. came first with 47.8% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 3. 69.9% of the 2,329 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps A.C.U.A. on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 79% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- A.C.U.A.Local lists 47.8% → 47.8% 6 → 6 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 29.0% → 24.6% 3 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 8.5% → 14.0% 1 → 1 councillors
- PPPP 8.9% → 7.6% 1 → 1 councillors
- CONTIGOLocal lists 4.0% → 4.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,629 valid votes including 31 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.