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Azuqueca de Henares: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Azuqueca de Henares (Guadalajara, 35,182 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
8 councillors (2023: 9) · 35.3% of the vote (2023: 39.2%) Majority 4%
PP±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 28.5% of the vote (2023: 29.4%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
5 councillors (2023: 3) · 20.4% of the vote (2023: 13.0%) Majority 0%
UNIDAS-IU-PODEMOS−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 7.7% of the vote (2023: 10.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 96% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 39.2% → 35.3% 9 → 8 councillors
  2. PPPP 29.4% → 28.5% 7 → 7 councillors
  3. VOXVox 13.0% → 20.4% 3 → 5 councillors
  4. UNIDAS-IU-PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 10.5% → 7.7% 2 → 1 councillors
  5. CIHGULocal lists 4.4% → 4.6% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. CONTIGOLocal lists 2.0% → 2.1% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 14,483 valid votes including 209 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Azuqueca de Henares in size, in Guadalajara

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