Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Padul: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Padul (Granada, 9,158 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 42.3% of the vote (2023: 40.7%) Majority 22%
PARA LA GENTE−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 24.7% of the vote (2023: 27.9%) Majority 0%
PSOE-A±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 22.7% of the vote (2023: 24.7%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 8.8% of the vote (2023: 3.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 78% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 40.7% → 42.3% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. PARA LA GENTESumar, Podemos and allies 27.9% → 24.7% 4 → 3 councillors
  3. PSOE-APSOE 24.7% → 22.7% 3 → 3 councillors
  4. VOXVox 3.7% → 8.8% 0 → 1 councillors
  5. CSCiudadanos 0.8% → 0.9% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. PODEMOS-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 1.5% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,723 valid votes including 29 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Padul in size, in Granada

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