España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Jayena: PP would win a majority

Jayena (Granada, 1,008 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP+1
5 councillors (2023: 4) · 48.2% of the vote (2023: 45.5%) Majority 49%
PSOE-A−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 48.1% of the vote (2023: 48.8%) Majority 51%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 45.5% → 48.2% 4 → 5 councillors
  2. PSOE-APSOE 48.8% → 48.1% 5 → 4 councillors
  3. PARA LA GENTESumar, Podemos and allies 5.3% → 3.2% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 666 valid votes including 3 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Jayena in size, in Granada

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