Guadix: PP would keep its majority
Guadix (Granada, 18,493 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- 81%PP majority
- 8,772valid votes in 2023 (61% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP−1
9
councillors (2023: 10) · 50.4% of the vote (2023: 51.4%)
Majority 81%
PSOE-A±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 21.2% of the vote (2023: 24.6%)
Majority 0%
VOX+2
3
councillors (2023: 1) · 16.3% of the vote (2023: 9.9%)
Majority 0%
AGX±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 8.0% of the vote (2023: 7.8%)
Majority 0%
PARA LA GENTE−1
0
councillors (2023: 1) · 3.0% of the vote (2023: 5.3%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 19% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 51.4% → 50.4% 10 → 9 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 24.6% → 21.2% 4 → 4 councillors
- VOXVox 9.9% → 16.3% 1 → 3 councillors
- AGXLocal lists 7.8% → 8.0% 1 → 1 councillors
- PARA LA GENTESumar, Podemos and allies 5.3% → 3.0% 1 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 8,772 valid votes including 88 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.