Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

El Valle: no list would have a majority, PSOE-A largest

El Valle (Granada, 917 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE-A±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 38.2% of the vote (2023: 42.2%) Majority 19%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 27.7% of the vote (2023: 28.6%) Majority under 1%
A.I.VA±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 15.7% of the vote (2023: 15.1%) Majority 0%
VXV±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 12.2% of the vote (2023: 11.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 81% of 300 simulated elections.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About El Valle

El Valle is a municipality in the province of Granada with 917 inhabitants, the 112th largest of its 174 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE-A came first with 42.2% of the vote and 3 seats; PP was second with 2. 84% of the 779 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE-A would be largest on 3 of 7.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOE-APSOE 42.2% → 38.2% 3 → 3 councillors
  2. PPPP 28.6% → 27.7% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. A.I.VALocal lists 15.1% → 15.7% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. VXVLocal lists 11.8% → 12.2% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. VOXVox 2.0% → 6.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 654 valid votes including 2 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near El Valle in size, in Granada

Every municipality in Granada → · All of Spain →