Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Dúrcal: no list would have a majority, PSOE-A largest

Dúrcal (Granada, 7,216 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE-A−1
6 councillors (2023: 7) · 40.4% of the vote (2023: 43.3%) Majority 25%
PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 29.7% of the vote (2023: 29.8%) Majority under 1%
ALTERNATIVA DURQUEÑA±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 9.0% of the vote (2023: 8.4%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 7.9% of the vote (2023: 3.3%) Majority 0%
I.U.±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.3% of the vote (2023: 9.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 74% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOE-APSOE 43.3% → 40.4% 7 → 6 councillors
  2. PPPP 29.8% → 29.7% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. ALTERNATIVA DURQUEÑALocal lists 8.4% → 9.0% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. VOXVox 3.3% → 7.9% 0 → 1 councillors
  5. I.U.Sumar, Podemos and allies 9.8% → 7.3% 1 → 1 councillors
  6. CSCiudadanos 4.5% → 4.8% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,803 valid votes including 33 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Dúrcal in size, in Granada

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