Cijuela: FTUC would keep its majority
Cijuela (Granada, 3,537 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 97%FTUC majority
- 1,743valid votes in 2023 (64% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 3% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Cijuela
Cijuela is a municipality in the province of Granada with 3,537 inhabitants, the 49th largest of its 174 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 FTUC came first with 51.2% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE-A was second with 4. 64.4% of the 2,705 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps FTUC on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 97% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- FTUCLocal lists 51.2% → 55.7% 6 → 7 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 31.4% → 29.1% 4 → 3 councillors
- PPPP 11.5% → 11.0% 1 → 1 councillors
- PARA LA GENTELocal lists 2.6% → 2.9% 0 → 0 councillors
- PODEMOS-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 2.4% → 0.4% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,743 valid votes including 15 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.