Castril: NC would keep its majority
Castril (Granada, 2,019 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- over 99%NC majority
- 1,316valid votes in 2023 (78% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
NC+1
8
councillors (2023: 7) · 63.1% of the vote (2023: 62.2%)
Majority over 99%
PP±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 17.5% of the vote (2023: 18.8%)
Majority 0%
PSOE-A−1
1
councillors (2023: 2) · 13.9% of the vote (2023: 17.2%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- NCLocal lists 62.2% → 63.1% 7 → 8 councillors
- PPPP 18.8% → 17.5% 2 → 2 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 17.2% → 13.9% 2 → 1 councillors
- VOXVox 1.1% → 4.8% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,316 valid votes including 9 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.