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Valderrubio: PSOE-A would keep its majority

Valderrubio (Granada, 2,045 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE-A±0
8 councillors (2023: 8) · 58.2% of the vote (2023: 58.2%) Majority over 99%
UCIN±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 12.8% of the vote (2023: 11.4%) Majority 0%
CS±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 10.7% of the vote (2023: 9.5%) Majority 0%
PARA LA GENTE±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 10.6% of the vote (2023: 12.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in under 1% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOE-APSOE 58.2% → 58.2% 8 → 8 councillors
  2. UCINLocal lists 11.4% → 12.8% 1 → 1 councillors
  3. CSCiudadanos 9.5% → 10.7% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. PARA LA GENTESumar, Podemos and allies 12.8% → 10.6% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. PPPP 7.2% → 6.7% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,292 valid votes including 11 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Valderrubio in size, in Granada

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