Valderrubio: PSOE-A would keep its majority
Valderrubio (Granada, 2,045 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- over 99%PSOE-A majority
- 1,292valid votes in 2023 (77% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in under 1% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Valderrubio
Valderrubio is a municipality in the province of Granada with 2,045 inhabitants, the 70th largest of its 174 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE-A came first with 58.2% of the vote and 8 seats, an absolute majority; PARA LA GENTE was second with 1. 77.3% of the 1,671 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE-A on 8 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOE-APSOE 58.2% → 58.2% 8 → 8 councillors
- UCINLocal lists 11.4% → 12.8% 1 → 1 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 9.5% → 10.7% 1 → 1 councillors
- PARA LA GENTESumar, Podemos and allies 12.8% → 10.6% 1 → 1 councillors
- PPPP 7.2% → 6.7% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,292 valid votes including 11 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.