Caniles: no list would have a majority, IAG largest
Caniles (Granada, 4,018 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 87%no list with a majority
- 2,465valid votes in 2023 (76% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 87% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Caniles
Caniles is a municipality in the province of Granada with 4,018 inhabitants, the 43rd largest of its 174 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 IAG came first with 41.9% of the vote and 5 seats; PP was second with 4. 75.9% of the 3,246 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: IAG would be largest on 5 of 11.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- IAGSumar, Podemos and allies 41.9% → 39.9% 5 → 5 councillors
- PPPP 33.9% → 36.8% 4 → 4 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 23.6% → 22.6% 2 → 2 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,465 valid votes including 17 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.