Caniles: no list would have a majority, IAG largest
Caniles (Granada, 4,018 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 87%no list with a majority
- 2,465valid votes in 2023 (76% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
IAG±0
5
councillors (2023: 5) · 39.9% of the vote (2023: 41.9%)
Majority 11%
PP±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 36.8% of the vote (2023: 33.9%)
Majority 2%
PSOE-A±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 22.6% of the vote (2023: 23.6%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 87% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- IAGSumar, Podemos and allies 41.9% → 39.9% 5 → 5 councillors
- PPPP 33.9% → 36.8% 4 → 4 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 23.6% → 22.6% 2 → 2 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,465 valid votes including 17 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.