La Jonquera: ERC - AM would win a majority
La Jonquera (Girona, 3,317 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 51%ERC - AM majority
- 1,186valid votes in 2023 (67% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
ERC - AM+1
6
councillors (2023: 5) · 45.0% of the vote (2023: 37.7%)
Majority 51%
CM−1
4
councillors (2023: 5) · 34.0% of the vote (2023: 40.3%)
Majority 3%
TPLJ - SOS - CP±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 11.0% of the vote (2023: 14.8%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 45% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- ERC - AMERC 37.7% → 45.0% 5 → 6 councillors
- CMJunts 40.3% → 34.0% 5 → 4 councillors
- TPLJ - SOS - CPPSOE 14.8% → 11.0% 1 → 1 councillors
- VOXVox 3.3% → 7.2% 0 → 0 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 1.6% → 1.5% 0 → 0 councillors
- PPPP 1.4% → 0.4% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,186 valid votes including 11 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near La Jonquera in size, in Girona
- Vilobí d'Onyar3,304 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Sant Joan de les Abadesses3,274 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Vilablareix3,396 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Campdevànol3,217 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- La Vall d'en Bas3,143 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Sant Joan les Fonts3,054 inhabitants · 11 councillors