Aiguaviva: ERC - AM would win a majority
Aiguaviva (Girona, 780 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 73%ERC - AM majority
- 442valid votes in 2023 (76% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 27% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Aiguaviva
Aiguaviva is a municipality in the province of Girona with 780 inhabitants, the 114th largest of its 221 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 ERC - AM came first with 42.3% of the vote and 3 seats; CM was second with 2. 75.6% of the 585 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps ERC - AM on 4 seats, a majority, which it holds in 73% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- ERC - AMERC 42.3% → 50.2% 3 → 4 councillors
- CMJunts 29.6% → 24.8% 2 → 2 councillors
- PIALocal lists 24.2% → 23.2% 2 → 1 councillors
- PSC-CPPSOE 2.0% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 442 valid votes including 8 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.