Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Orio: EH BILDU would keep its majority

Orio (Gipuzkoa, 6,062 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

EH BILDU±0
10 councillors (2023: 10) · 72.7% of the vote (2023: 65.6%) Majority over 99%
EAJ-PNV±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 22.0% of the vote (2023: 26.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. EH BILDUEH Bildu 65.6% → 72.7% 10 → 10 councillors
  2. EAJ-PNVPNV 26.0% → 22.0% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 6.3% → 3.9% 0 → 0 councillors
  4. PPPP 0.7% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,985 valid votes including 43 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Orio in size, in Gipuzkoa

Every municipality in Gipuzkoa → · All of Spain →