Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Usurbil: EH BILDU would keep its majority

Usurbil (Gipuzkoa, 6,166 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

EH BILDU+1
10 councillors (2023: 9) · 68.0% of the vote (2023: 60.8%) Majority over 99%
EAJ-PNV±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 22.2% of the vote (2023: 26.0%) Majority 0%
PSE-EE (PSOE)−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 5.7% of the vote (2023: 8.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. EH BILDUEH Bildu 60.8% → 68.0% 9 → 10 councillors
  2. EAJ-PNVPNV 26.0% → 22.2% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 8.1% → 5.7% 1 → 0 councillors
  4. PPPP 1.9% → 0.9% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,913 valid votes including 93 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Usurbil in size, in Gipuzkoa

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