Olaberria: OEO would keep its majority
Olaberria (Gipuzkoa, 914 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 97%OEO majority
- 499valid votes in 2023 (70% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Olaberria
Olaberria is a municipality in the province of Gipuzkoa with 914 inhabitants, the 58th largest of its 88 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 OEO came first with 56.9% of the vote and 4 seats, an absolute majority; EH BILDU was second with 3. 69.7% of the 716 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps OEO on 4 seats, a majority, which it holds in 97% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- OEOLocal lists 56.9% → 57.9% 4 → 4 councillors
- EH BILDUEH Bildu 36.5% → 38.1% 3 → 3 councillors
- PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 4.0% → 1.4% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 499 valid votes including 13 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.