Astigarraga: EH BILDU would keep its majority
Astigarraga (Gipuzkoa, 7,417 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 99%EH BILDU majority
- 3,293valid votes in 2023 (58% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
EH BILDU+1
9
councillors (2023: 8) · 60.2% of the vote (2023: 51.7%)
Majority 99%
EAJ-PNV±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 26.6% of the vote (2023: 29.9%)
Majority 0%
PSE-EE (PSOE)−1
0
councillors (2023: 1) · 6.1% of the vote (2023: 8.3%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 1% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- EH BILDUEH Bildu 51.7% → 60.2% 8 → 9 councillors
- EAJ-PNVPNV 29.9% → 26.6% 4 → 4 councillors
- PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 8.3% → 6.1% 1 → 0 councillors
- ELKARREKIN PODEMOS-EZKER ANITZA/IU-ALIANZA VERDESumar, Podemos and allies 5.8% → 3.8% 0 → 0 councillors
- PPPP 2.6% → 1.7% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,293 valid votes including 54 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.