España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Aretxabaleta: EH BILDU would keep its majority

Aretxabaleta (Gipuzkoa, 7,069 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

EH BILDU+1
8 councillors (2023: 7) · 57.6% of the vote (2023: 48.8%) Majority 94%
EAJ-PNV−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 36.2% of the vote (2023: 40.2%) Majority 6%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. EH BILDUEH Bildu 48.8% → 57.6% 7 → 8 councillors
  2. EAJ-PNVPNV 40.2% → 36.2% 6 → 5 councillors
  3. PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 5.1% → 2.8% 0 → 0 councillors
  4. ELKARREKIN PODEMOS - EZKER ANITZA / IU - BERDEAK ESumar, Podemos and allies 4.2% → 2.3% 0 → 0 councillors
  5. PPPP 0.6% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,534 valid votes including 40 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Aretxabaleta in size, in Gipuzkoa

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