Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Montoro: no list would have a majority, PSOE-A largest

Montoro (Córdoba, 9,203 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE-A−1
6 councillors (2023: 7) · 43.6% of the vote (2023: 46.9%) Majority 42%
UDIM+1
6 councillors (2023: 5) · 40.5% of the vote (2023: 38.3%) Majority 26%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 6.5% of the vote (2023: 2.2%) Majority 0%
PP−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 5.5% of the vote (2023: 6.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 32% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Montoro

Montoro is a municipality in the province of Córdoba with 9,203 inhabitants, the 16th largest of its 77 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE-A came first with 46.9% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; UDIM was second with 5. 74% of the 7,364 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE-A would be largest on 6 of 13.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOE-APSOE 46.9% → 43.6% 7 → 6 councillors
  2. UDIMLocal lists 38.3% → 40.5% 5 → 6 councillors
  3. VOXVox 2.2% → 6.5% 0 → 1 councillors
  4. PPPP 6.4% → 5.5% 1 → 0 councillors
  5. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 5.6% → 3.3% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 5,451 valid votes including 31 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Montoro in size, in Córdoba

Every municipality in Córdoba → · All of Spain →