La Victoria: VAMOS would win a majority
La Victoria (Córdoba, 2,316 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 69%VAMOS majority
- 1,386valid votes in 2023 (74% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 31% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About La Victoria
La Victoria is a municipality in the province of Córdoba with 2,316 inhabitants, the 50th largest of its 77 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 VAMOS came first with 43.2% of the vote and 5 seats; PSOE-A was second with 3. 74.2% of the 1,869 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps VAMOS on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 69% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- VAMOSLocal lists 43.2% → 47.4% 5 → 6 councillors
- PPPP 21.4% → 21.6% 2 → 2 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 22.6% → 20.5% 3 → 2 councillors
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 10.4% → 8.0% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,386 valid votes including 34 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.