Carcabuey: CON ANDALUCÍA would keep its majority
Carcabuey (Córdoba, 2,367 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 74%CON ANDALUCÍA majority
- 1,536valid votes in 2023 (76% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 26% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Carcabuey
Carcabuey is a municipality in the province of Córdoba with 2,367 inhabitants, the 48th largest of its 77 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 CON ANDALUCÍA came first with 52.7% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE-A was second with 2. 76.1% of the 2,019 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps CON ANDALUCÍA on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 74% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 52.7% → 48.9% 7 → 6 councillors
- PPPP 21.2% → 21.8% 2 → 2 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 21.8% → 20.0% 2 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 3.0% → 7.9% 0 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,536 valid votes including 20 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.