Carcabuey: CON ANDALUCÍA would keep its majority
Carcabuey (Córdoba, 2,367 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 74%CON ANDALUCÍA majority
- 1,536valid votes in 2023 (76% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
CON ANDALUCÍA−1
6
councillors (2023: 7) · 48.9% of the vote (2023: 52.7%)
Majority 74%
PP±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 21.8% of the vote (2023: 21.2%)
Majority 0%
PSOE-A±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 20.0% of the vote (2023: 21.8%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 7.9% of the vote (2023: 3.0%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 26% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 52.7% → 48.9% 7 → 6 councillors
- PPPP 21.2% → 21.8% 2 → 2 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 21.8% → 20.0% 2 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 3.0% → 7.9% 0 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,536 valid votes including 20 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.