Cabra: PP would keep its majority
Cabra (Córdoba, 20,097 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- 98%PP majority
- 10,318valid votes in 2023 (63% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP−1
13
councillors (2023: 14) · 58.9% of the vote (2023: 61.0%)
Majority 98%
UVEGA±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 14.5% of the vote (2023: 14.3%)
Majority 0%
PSOE±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 12.8% of the vote (2023: 16.1%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
2
councillors (2023: 1) · 12.0% of the vote (2023: 6.8%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 2% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 61.0% → 58.9% 14 → 13 councillors
- UVEGALocal lists 14.3% → 14.5% 3 → 3 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 16.1% → 12.8% 3 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 6.8% → 12.0% 1 → 2 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 10,318 valid votes including 175 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.