La Carlota: PSOE-A would keep its majority
La Carlota (Córdoba, 14,324 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- 98%PSOE-A majority
- 7,215valid votes in 2023 (64% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE-A±0
11
councillors (2023: 11) · 57.2% of the vote (2023: 60.8%)
Majority 98%
PP±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 22.5% of the vote (2023: 23.0%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
2
councillors (2023: 1) · 15.3% of the vote (2023: 8.8%)
Majority 0%
CON ANDALUCÍA−1
0
councillors (2023: 1) · 3.7% of the vote (2023: 6.0%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 2% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOE-APSOE 60.8% → 57.2% 11 → 11 councillors
- PPPP 23.0% → 22.5% 4 → 4 councillors
- VOXVox 8.8% → 15.3% 1 → 2 councillors
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 6.0% → 3.7% 1 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 7,215 valid votes including 91 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.