Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Villamanrique: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Villamanrique (Ciudad Real, 1,083 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 44.9% of the vote (2023: 49.5%) Majority 27%
PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 41.3% of the vote (2023: 42.4%) Majority 13%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 13.5% of the vote (2023: 7.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 59% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 49.5% → 44.9% 5 → 4 councillors
  2. PPPP 42.4% → 41.3% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. VOXVox 7.8% → 13.5% 0 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 769 valid votes including 2 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Villamanrique in size, in Ciudad Real

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