Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Torrenueva: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Torrenueva (Ciudad Real, 2,659 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 47.0% of the vote (2023: 45.7%) Majority 38%
PSOE±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 42.9% of the vote (2023: 45.0%) Majority 21%
UCIN±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 9.6% of the vote (2023: 8.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 41% of 300 simulated elections.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Torrenueva

Torrenueva is a municipality in the province of Ciudad Real with 2,659 inhabitants, the 35th largest of its 102 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 45.7% of the vote and 5 seats; PSOE was second with 5. 86.5% of the 2,172 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 5 of 11.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 45.7% → 47.0% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 45.0% → 42.9% 5 → 5 councillors
  3. UCINLocal lists 8.8% → 9.6% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,878 valid votes including 10 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Torrenueva in size, in Ciudad Real

Every municipality in Ciudad Real → · All of Spain →