Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Torralba de Calatrava: PP would keep its majority

Torralba de Calatrava (Ciudad Real, 3,052 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 50.2% of the vote (2023: 51.9%) Majority 68%
PSOE±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 33.1% of the vote (2023: 37.5%) Majority 1%
VOX±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 15.7% of the vote (2023: 9.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 31% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

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The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Torralba de Calatrava

Torralba de Calatrava is a municipality in the province of Ciudad Real with 3,052 inhabitants, the 32nd largest of its 102 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 51.9% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 4. 69.4% of the 2,448 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 68% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 51.9% → 50.2% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 37.5% → 33.1% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. VOXVox 9.6% → 15.7% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,700 valid votes including 18 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Torralba de Calatrava in size, in Ciudad Real

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