Santa Cruz de Mudela: PP would keep its majority
Santa Cruz de Mudela (Ciudad Real, 3,950 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 97%PP majority
- 2,185valid votes in 2023 (67% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Santa Cruz de Mudela
Santa Cruz de Mudela is a municipality in the province of Ciudad Real with 3,950 inhabitants, the 26th largest of its 102 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 60.2% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 4. 67% of the 3,262 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 97% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 60.2% → 62.3% 7 → 7 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 38.2% → 36.0% 4 → 4 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,185 valid votes including 35 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Santa Cruz de Mudela in size, in Ciudad Real
- Calzada de Calatrava3,704 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Pozuelo de Calatrava3,629 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Piedrabuena4,363 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Porzuna3,505 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Villanueva de los Infantes4,828 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Carrión de Calatrava3,131 inhabitants · 11 councillors