Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Calzada de Calatrava: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Calzada de Calatrava (Ciudad Real, 3,704 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 43.3% of the vote (2023: 48.3%) Majority 27%
PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 35.9% of the vote (2023: 37.4%) Majority 3%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 17.0% of the vote (2023: 10.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 71% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Calzada de Calatrava

Calzada de Calatrava is a municipality in the province of Ciudad Real with 3,704 inhabitants, the 27th largest of its 102 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 48.3% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 4. 76.8% of the 3,112 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 5 of 11.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 48.3% → 43.3% 6 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 37.4% → 35.9% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. VOXVox 10.6% → 17.0% 1 → 2 councillors
  4. CSCiudadanos 2.9% → 3.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,390 valid votes including 18 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Calzada de Calatrava in size, in Ciudad Real

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