Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Navas de Estena: UNIDAS - IU - PODEMOS would keep its majority

Navas de Estena (Ciudad Real, 292 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

UNIDAS - IU - PODEMOS±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 56.3% of the vote (2023: 57.0%) Majority 93%
PSOE±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 29.5% of the vote (2023: 29.4%) Majority under 1%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 13.3% of the vote (2023: 12.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 7% of 300 simulated elections.

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About Navas de Estena

Navas de Estena is a municipality in the province of Ciudad Real with 292 inhabitants, the 92nd largest of its 102 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 UNIDAS - IU - PODEMOS came first with 57% of the vote and 4 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 2. 85% of the 260 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps UNIDAS - IU - PODEMOS on 4 seats, a majority, which it holds in 93% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. UNIDAS - IU - PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 57.0% → 56.3% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 29.4% → 29.5% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. PPPP 12.7% → 13.3% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 221 valid votes including 2 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Navas de Estena in size, in Ciudad Real

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