Manzanares: PSOE would keep its majority
Manzanares (Ciudad Real, 17,738 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- 71%PSOE majority
- 9,593valid votes in 2023 (69% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE−1
9
councillors (2023: 10) · 49.8% of the vote (2023: 53.3%)
Majority 71%
PP±0
6
councillors (2023: 6) · 31.3% of the vote (2023: 31.6%)
Majority under 1%
VOX+1
2
councillors (2023: 1) · 11.6% of the vote (2023: 6.1%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 29% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 53.3% → 49.8% 10 → 9 councillors
- PPPP 31.6% → 31.3% 6 → 6 councillors
- VOXVox 6.1% → 11.6% 1 → 2 councillors
- UCINLocal lists 4.7% → 5.0% 0 → 0 councillors
- UNIDAS - IU - PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 2.6% → 0.6% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 9,593 valid votes including 162 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.