Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

La Solana: PP would keep its majority

La Solana (Ciudad Real, 15,313 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
10 councillors (2023: 10) · 53.0% of the vote (2023: 52.2%) Majority 77%
PSOE−1
6 councillors (2023: 7) · 36.7% of the vote (2023: 39.5%) Majority 6%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 6.3% of the vote (2023: 2.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 17% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 52.2% → 53.0% 10 → 10 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 39.5% → 36.7% 7 → 6 councillors
  3. VOXVox 2.1% → 6.3% 0 → 1 councillors
  4. UNIDAS - IU - PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 5.0% → 2.9% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 8,634 valid votes including 100 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near La Solana in size, in Ciudad Real

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