Abenójar: PP would keep its majority
Abenójar (Ciudad Real, 1,314 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 96%PP majority
- 1,018valid votes in 2023 (89% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Abenójar
Abenójar is a municipality in the province of Ciudad Real with 1,314 inhabitants, the 44th largest of its 102 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 60.8% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 3. 89.1% of the 1,143 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 96% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 60.8% → 63.0% 6 → 6 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 38.5% → 36.3% 3 → 3 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,018 valid votes including 7 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.