Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Sant Mateu: PSOE would keep its majority

Sant Mateu (Castellón/Castelló, 1,954 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 54.2% of the vote (2023: 58.5%) Majority 86%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 34.5% of the vote (2023: 35.2%) Majority under 1%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 10.0% of the vote (2023: 5.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 14% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Sant Mateu

Sant Mateu is a municipality in the province of Castellón/Castelló with 1,954 inhabitants, the 32nd largest of its 135 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 58.5% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 3. 85.3% of the 1,413 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 86% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 58.5% → 54.2% 6 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 35.2% → 34.5% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. VOXVox 5.0% → 10.0% 0 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,205 valid votes including 16 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Sant Mateu in size, in Castellón/Castelló

Every municipality in Castellón/Castelló → · All of Spain →