Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Onda: PP would keep its majority

Onda (Castellón/Castelló, 25,099 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP+2
16 councillors (2023: 14) · 69.2% of the vote (2023: 65.4%) Majority over 99%
PSOE−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 24.4% of the vote (2023: 26.2%) Majority 0%
ACORD PER GUANYAR−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 3.8% of the vote (2023: 5.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 65.4% → 69.2% 14 → 16 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 26.2% → 24.4% 6 → 5 councillors
  3. ACORD PER GUANYARSumar, Podemos and allies 5.9% → 3.8% 1 → 0 councillors
  4. UCINLocal lists 0.8% → 0.8% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 12,552 valid votes including 213 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Onda in size, in Castellón/Castelló

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